How do you keep new subscribers past their first 90 days?
What problem does this play solve?
The first renewals are where a subscription is most fragile. The first order was a decision; the second is a charge the customer didn’t actively make. If it comes as a surprise, or the product hasn’t become a habit yet, the subscriber cancels, some before the first renewal ever bills.
On a monthly plan, 90 days are the checkout order plus two renewals. On a weekly plan it’s many more orders, so move the milestones to match your rhythm.
What’s the play?
Three moves, each aimed at one moment:
- Make the first renewals cheaper. An introductory discount on the first recurring orders, on top of the regular subscription discount, makes the first charges easier to accept. Limit it to new customers if returning ones shouldn’t get it again.
- Give them something to look forward to at order 3. A free gift, a sample or a bigger size. Make it visible ahead of time, so it’s a reason not to cancel before it arrives, and mention it in your welcome email.
- Never surprise anyone with a charge. Remind subscribers before every order, early enough to skip, move the date or change the products instead of cancelling.
Check the delivery interval, too. “I have too much” in the first months often means the interval chosen at signup doesn’t match how fast the product gets used. Say on the product page how long one order lasts, and tell new subscribers that they can change the interval in the customer portal.
Use the first weeks to teach, not to sell: how to use the product, when to expect a result and how to skip or change an order. Save add-on offers until the first order has been used. Subscribers who get a result early form the habit that carries them past the first renewals.
How do you build it in Zubs?
- Built in: an introductory discount on the first renewals, optionally limited to new customers.
- Built in: Sequential Flows that add a gift or swap in an upgrade at the order you choose.
- Built in: the gift shows on the upcoming order in the customer portal well before it bills.
- Built in: a reminder email before every order, on the days you choose.
- With Klaviyo or Shopify Flow: events and triggers when a subscription starts and before each order, for a richer welcome series.
- Built in, Shopify Plus: a subscription overview at checkout that sets expectations from the first order.
Set it up in the help center: Sequential Flows.
What should you measure?
In the Zubs analytics dashboard, compare a few months before and after:
- Cancellations before the first renewal: these should fall.
- Same-day cancellations: if they’re high, the problem is the expectation set at checkout, not the renewals.
- Average number of orders before cancellation: this should rise past the order where your gift lands.
- Churn rate: the overall effect.
When early subscribers still cancel, cancellation offers give them a skip or a new date instead, and a win-back flow follows up with those who leave.
Bottom line
Early churn is a habit problem and a surprise problem. A cheaper first renewal, a visible reward at order 3 and a reminder before every charge address both, and Zubs has each of them built in.
Frequently asked questions
- How many orders should the introductory discount cover?
- Enough to reach the point where your subscribers usually stay. The Zubs dashboard shows how many orders subscribers place on average before they cancel; cover at least that many renewals.
- Can I keep returning customers from getting the introductory discount again?
- Yes. You can limit the discount to new customers with a Shopify customer segment.
- How early should the reminder go out?
- Early enough to skip or change the order calmly, about a week ahead on a monthly plan and a few days on a weekly one. A second reminder the day before catches anyone who missed the first.
- Can I build a welcome series in Klaviyo?
- Yes. Zubs sends Klaviyo an event when a subscription starts and before each order, so your own emails can explain how to skip, pause and change products.